Bracket Projection: 2/21

I'm going to crank this one out so that it gets posted before the Michigan-Penn State game starting soon. If you haven't noticed, I've been slacking a bit on this site. I haven't even published my Northwestern post from two weeks ago, which is almost done. I also went to Wisconsin, but I don't think a post will be coming on that one because I already wrote about Madison back in the fall. The short version: The Kohl Center is exactly like Crisler but bigger, much like Madison is exactly like Ann Arbor but bigger. It was great and Michigan won and I finally got my road win. The end. Here is a bracket:

	ATLANTA	BOSTON	LOS ANGELES	OMAHA
1	Virginia	Villanova	Duke	Xavier
2	Purdue	Cincinnati	Kansas	North Carolina
3	Auburn	Clemson	Michigan St.	Texas Tech
4	Arizona	Ohio St.	Tennessee	Wichita St.
5	Nevada	Rhode Island	West Virginia	Kentucky
6	Oklahoma	Michigan	Gonzaga	Texas A&M
7	Houston	TCU	Creighton	Arizona St.
8	Seton Hall	Alabama	Missouri	Arkansas
9	Saint Mary's	Florida St.	Butler	Miami FL
10	Florida	Providence	Virginia Tech	Baylor
11	Middle Tennessee	Syracuse	Texas	St. Bonaventure
11		Kansas St.	UCLA
12	New Mexico St.	North Carolina St.	Louisiana Lafayette	Loyola Chicago
13	Buffalo	Vermont	East Tennessee St.	South Dakota St.
14	Bucknell	College of Charleston	Rider	Murray St.
15	Montana	UC Santa Barbara	Northern Kentucky	Wagner
16	Florida Gulf Coast	Penn	Nicholls St.	Winthrop
16	Savannah St.		Grambling St.

By now, you're probably well familiar with the new "quadrant" style used in the selection process, which I'm probably going to dive into explaining how they affect my picks in a post sometime soon. Long story short, I haven't been using it as much as some other bracketologists, except in the case of eyeballing resumes for teams in the 5-9 seed range. Outside of that, the formula I started using last year seems to be working fine.

Big Ten check-in. The Big Ten seed lines are starting to solidify, but there's still a lot of room for movement. Purdue looks like a very solid 2, and Michigan State has a 2/3 type of resume who will hope to move up one by winning a few conference tournament games. Ohio State is up to a 4 and should stay that way unless they start to collapse.

Michigan has probably the most room to move of any Big Ten team, with two coin-flip games left on the schedule and a likely third one in the quarterfinals of the Big Ten Tournament. If they lose the next two, win their first tournament game, and then lose to Nebraska, they're probably back down to the 8/9 range. On the other hand, if they go on a 2017-esque miracle run and win out, they could potentially move all the way up to a 3 seed. 6 is a nice middle ground there, which is the outcome if they split their next two games, win two Big Ten Tournament games, and then lose to Michigan State, which looks to be the most likely scenario at this point.